PolyFrog

The pond

Each market asks one question about one auction. Stake on graduate or fail; the losing side’s money is divided among the winners, weighted by how early they committed.

Taking stakes

Price markets

Instant Launches have no threshold of their own, so these markets state one: a price, and a block to reach it by. They settle on the median of several prices recorded across a window before the deadline, so a single manipulated block cannot decide them.

FrogTide 0xa10F…eE8c

Auctions with no market yet

These are running right now and nobody has taken a view. Open one and you set the first price — and collect the maximum time weighting.